Abstract
Abstract: The following report presents the results of a simulation conducted using the (MAED) model. The aim of this study was to explore how Scotland's Net Zero target can be aligned with various scenarios for the years 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, and 2045. By analysing the simulation outcomes, this report highlights the key targets derived from the case study. Reduction of Fossil Fuel Demand in the Construction and Manufacturing Sectors: One of the primary objectives of the simulation was to reduce fossil fuel demand in Scotland's Construction and Manufacturing sectors. The MAED model provides insights into achieving this target by exploring alternative energy sources and technologies. Decrease in Fossil Fuel and Traditional Oil Penetration Share: In addition to reducing overall fossil fuel demand, the simulation also focused on decreasing the penetration share of fossil fuels and traditional oil within the Construction and Manufacturing sectors. By identifying alternatives and implementing efficient energy practices, Scotland can significantly reduce its reliance on these non-renewable resources. Increase in Modern Biomass, Solar Thermal, and Electricity Share: To align with the Net Zero target, the simulation results emphasize the need to increase the share of modern biomass, solar thermal, and electricity in the Construction and Manufacturing sectors. These renewable energy sources offer environmentally friendly alternatives that can help Scotland transition towards a low-carbon future. Utilization of Geothermal as Backup for Winter-Time Solar Thermal Demand: To ensure a continuous supply of energy, especially during winter when solar thermal efficiency may decrease, the simulation suggests using geothermal energy as a backup system. By incorporating geothermal technologies, Scotland can mitigate any potential shortfalls in solar thermal supply and maintain a reliable and sustainable energy infrastructure. Based on the MAED simulation results, it is evident that Scotland's Net Zero target can be aligned with the specified scenarios for the years 2025-2045. By reducing fossil fuel demand, decreasing the penetration share of traditional oil and fossil fuels, increasing the use of modern biomass, solar thermal, and electricity, and utilizing geothermal as a backup, Scotland can make significant progress towards achieving its Net Zero goals. These findings provide valuable insights and recommendations for policymakers, industry stakeholders, and energy planners as they work towards a sustainable and carbon-neutral future for Scotland.